shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133295 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/19/2016 4:05:13 PM
My Tvix loss offset a bit by the constant Xiv 33% holding.
Really thought they would tank it before new year. I'm just treading water, not winning or losing much.
Xiv will be 120 by end of Trump's reign. Wishing I had the patience to buy and hold
but we know that won't happen.
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four 5,087 posts msg #133296 - Ignore four modified |
12/19/2016 4:14:50 PM
Shil,
"Xiv will be 120 by end of Trump's reign."
--
4 or 8 years?
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133297 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/19/2016 4:23:43 PM
Xiv 115 in 4 years. Then epic collapse.
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133298 - Ignore shillllihs modified |
12/19/2016 4:30:36 PM
You know, I'm really good at these long range calls.
Called it way back that we are in a prolonged bull market because of the prolonged
bear dip, and that there would be a Republican in office. I did get thrown off by the odds in Vegas being 5-1. If I had the nerve I would have bet 20k.
I really fear how all this will end up. There will be such a balloon that I feel they will have to do something
very very drastic to the cattle. Conjure the worst scenario and that's what I think. After all,
how many years has it been since something that drastic. It's due.
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133309 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/20/2016 9:24:41 AM
There goes dust, maybe. Ride it.
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133313 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/20/2016 10:04:48 AM
shillllihs
2,542 posts
msg #133050 12/5/2016 7:27:43 AM
There will be no major bounce in VIX until XIV goes over 50.10
🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒🍒
Spot on ace.
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pthomas215 1,251 posts msg #133314 - Ignore pthomas215 |
12/20/2016 11:09:24 AM
shillihs, indeed you called that one. Playing XIV long each day at open pays off. for some reason, Gold inverse ETFs like DUST and JDST really gap up. XIV makes more moves after the bell.
Do you have any of your stuff with Will Danoff or do you manage everything yourself?
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133315 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/20/2016 11:31:47 AM
He's too boring for my taste. I'd rather follow you.
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pthomas215 1,251 posts msg #133316 - Ignore pthomas215 |
12/20/2016 11:34:09 AM
ha ha well, lately if you follow me you are gonna lose money! I went to Harvard with him. I do indeed recommend Contrafund until the January effect. but as you say, it is nothing glamorous.
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133317 - Ignore shillllihs |
12/20/2016 11:42:06 AM
Truth is, I can beat his return 10 fold. The problem is if I follow him or if I follow me, will I have the patience
to stay with the plan. I can return 25% in a month then shut it off for 11 months, but will I?
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